Sunday, November 30, 2014

Primary in Veneto and Puglia, low turnout in the north. And on the Quirinal … – The Huffington Post

Primary in Veneto and Puglia, low turnout in the north. And on the Quirinal … – The Huffington Post

Crash abstention to the north, substantial stability in the south. The primary center for the office of governor in Veneto and Puglia return to the Democratic Party the same photograph of regional Emilia Romagna and Calabria. In Veneto wins renziana Alessandra Moretti with 64 percent, but a total of only 40 thousand voters, far from the Veneto that only 177 thousand a year ago took part in the primaries to elect the Secretary of the Immaculate Pd. In Puglia’s better: one hundred thousand compared to 123 thousand voters in the primaries in 2013, giving the win to Emiliano. To the south, therefore, would seem to prevail a survival instinct that results in a confirmation of the known ‘caudilli’ of local politics: Emiliano Oliverio in Puglia and Calabria. The North instead is already tuned to the new wave of distrust of parties: is the wave that does not retain, but overwhelms, changes, releases memberships. And traveling towards obstinate and contrary compared to ‘change to’ Matteo Renzi. This has to do with the prime minister, as he tries to weave his web for the election of the successor of Giorgio Napolitano to the Hill. And ‘the most crucial step of the legislature, the more difficult since the government. Why the mistrust of the base produces fraying in the parties represented in Parliament: the Democratic Party, as in M5s and Forza Italy. Complicated pieces put together in order to elect a head of state or perhaps to continue on the path of reform.

The regional authorities have weakened the Pact of the Nazarene and now admits to Renzi ‘In half an hour’ Raitre, “Berlusconi does not give more cards.” At the premier did not like at all the interview of former Knight with Corriere della Sera, in which Berlusconi asked to postpone the vote sull’Italicum after the election of the new head of state. In a ‘interview with Republic today, Renzi asks the opposite: the electoral law before the choices on the Quirinal. But in fact it is a ballet already concluded to the disadvantage of the prime minister, who in’ In half an hour ‘admits that his Italicum not be approved by the Senate before Christmas: at most it will come at the OK of the Committee. Same timing for constitutional reforms before the House. Then, in January, political activity will resume with the election for the Hill. The the rest will end up in stand-by. The prime minister is confident that the reforms do not become blocked, but this – and the fate of the legislature – will depend on how the game quirinalizia.

And if the Covenant of the Nazarene is not healthy, the fear is that the minority Dem can build an axis with the ‘rebels’ of Raffaele Lease on the election of the successor of Giorgio Napolitano. This also allows the prime minister: “Others speak of the Democratic Party with Lease, persons elected in Puglia in the past ….” The reference is to Massimo D’Alema, let understand Renzi. It is a reflection ripe between renziani. From the day of frond of thirty Dem on the Jobs Act, the headquarters of the prime minister has tripped the alarm and suspicion that the same could be repeated on the election quirinalizia frond, with hooks inside Forza Italy to row against the Covenant of the Nazarene.

In front of a minority who apparently has already set in motion, the prime minister and his not stand still. Officially, the hope is that Berlusconi will experience Lease to reassemble Forza Italy. “If Berlusconi must see,” says a renziana source. However, just because “Berlusconi no longer gives the cards”, also the Deputy Secretary of the Democratic Party, the renzianissimo Lorenzo Guerini, opened a bridge of dialogue with Lease. They are the precautions to be taken. Of course, the whole thing is in a phase Pre-heating: it gets underway, with names and candidates, only after the resignation of Napolitano who, according to calculations renziani, should fall to mid-January. At that point, would be triggered 15 days of the regency of the second position in the State Piero Grasso. And in February should be the month of the election of the new tenant of the Hill. Depending on who will and alliances that will click on the choice of successor Napolitano, you will understand if the legislature will continue or whether, as Berlusconi, you will go to a vote. Moreover, the suspicion of an early return to the polls shake even the minority of the Democratic Party who could seek guidance tomorrow in the national leadership convened in Nazareth to 17.30.

The parties crumble, the stage is uncertain, started the race for the Hill and with it the stampede of all to win the most promising political position. It ‘a race that knows no boundaries of party, rather aims to establish cross-sectional areas that they can move behind the secret ballot scheduled for the election of the president. A lottery for Renzi. But the prime minister tries to move beyond the confines of the current government majority. And ‘why places high in the diaspora M5s. “What is happening inside the TopClass do not think that will remain without consequences in the coming months for the performance of the legislature”, are his words. The hope is to annex new numbers to the government majority in the Senate, where next week will be approved the Jobs Act, and where the first commission is engaged in the discussion of the electoral law. And then who knows that there are no fruits also on the election of the President of the Republic: on this step, Renzi has every incentive to break the thread that might connect the minority Democratic Party with grillini in the name of Romano Prodi. And ‘why even now the premier lets in his opposition to candidates already rejected by Parliament in other elections quirinalizie: the professor, in fact.

But the hardest obstacle remains that wave of’ change and mistrust ‘that has been put into action’ despite Renzi ‘. And ‘the wave that marks distances from leaders and traditional parties and rewards only those who rides: Matteo Salvini and his League. It is no coincidence in Veneto will be the League’s Luca Zaia, the current governor, to challenge ‘ladylike’ Moretti. Which is why the Democratic Party fer you do not make too many illusions about the regional Veneto. It ‘the same wave that crumbles even groups already elected to Parliament. One thing that worries, admits the prime minister, while remaining convinced that the turnout is a problem “secondary”, perhaps with the secret hope that for once the north does not anticipate the trend for the south.

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