Referendum, Renzi and the vote: the goal the influx of 60% – BBC

in Matteo Renzi staff made two calculations, developed some beliefs, the first of many is that the higher the turnout the greater the institutional referendum in November will be the probability of winning: “If it goes to vote 60% of eligible voters passes Yes, “is the refrain that is heard at Palazzo Chigi. The next Council of Ministers has not yet been convened but should be held in late August and might be useful to decide the date of the consultation on the reform of the Constitution 20 and 27 November are the probable dates, with a slight preference of the prime minister for the second .

the latest polls

After admitting that he had made a mistake in excessively customize the referendum questions, Renzi believes that Italians will have more time to be informed on the substance and content of the more likely it is that you lower the purely political level of debate reform, and this to the advantage of the Yes to the reform which was approved with six parliamentary procedures and of which the prime minister has made a kind of watershed of his fate than that of the legislature. The latest polls available to the government would give the advantage on No Yes, but with a high percentage of undecided. The reports would be more or less than these, ten respondents: 4 in favor of the reform, 3 against, 3 incapable of expressing a clear preference.

the hope of the prime minister and the Democratic Party

the hope of the Democratic Party and the Prime Minister is that this wide range of undecided, when will be decided date will begin a period of more election information, be influenced only by the content of the reform and not by debate in progress on other issues, beginning with the alleged distortive effect of the reform by the new electoral law. The mandate that Renzi has given men of his party is to stop accepting what it considers sull’Italicum provocations and concentrate as much as possible on the substance and on specific points of the reform measure. Which, moreover, he tried to do himself: no longer mentions the word referendum, calls it “democratic transition” for almost a month did not touch the subject, and in addition to the allegations has compiled a number of concrete examples they can better illustrate the reforms; For example, when discussing the revision of Title V, the reference to the pulverization of tourism policies by the regions, able to open offices in the most distant places and diverse, without any coordination between them.

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referendum questions on the reform

 
 

The sides of the Yes and No between teachers

 

Approve the law of stability

There is also another reason why the head of the government prefers a more distant date: approve before, at least in one branch of Parliament, the law of stability is the minimum, as also observed in other institutional settings, which may suggest common sense. Italy is still a kind of special surveillance in an international context, for the state of bank loans, for the very high public debt, the structural inability to have an increase of the European average. In case of failure of the referendum is expected to report a turbulent period which is likely to involve the financial support of the government. So its best to secure them.

August 11, 2016 (modified August 12, 2016 | 01:05)

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