Sunday, January 25, 2015

Greece to the polls. The unknown of the majority premium for Tsipras – Il Sole 24 Ore

Greece to the polls. The unknown of the majority premium for Tsipras – Il Sole 24 Ore

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This article was published on 25 January 2015 to 11:18 hours.
The last modified on 25 January 2015 to 24:47 hours.

ATHENS – As it does with the oracles, you must plumb the warning signs of a day that could change the fate of Greece and Europe. After two days of incessant rain, Athens woke up under a clear sky and good wishes.

Alexis Tsipras is played in 12 hours (you vote from seven in the morning until 19 today, 18 hours Italian) throughout his short but meteoric political career. In a Europe trapped by the constraints of Maastricht and by the dictates of the troika, this engineer with a past as a Marxist-faced university student with high hopes and good manners will find, a bit ‘as Ariadne in the labyrinth, an escape from troubles that plague his country.

The decisive game will be played at the polls flipped. The question is simple and determined at the same time: Syriza, the ressemblement of leftist parties led by Alexis, will have enough seats (151 out of 300) to impose its political line? The Greek electoral law, plant proportional, assigns a majority bonus of 50 seats to the party that gets the most votes. Hence descend all t he policies on which they practice days from the commentators, economists and political scientists around the world.

Tsipras will ask the Brussels technocrats a debt restructuring, will manage to create a common front with the other countries of the southern European Union? The exit from the euro is not high on the list of programs of SYRIZA, which will, if anything, to win, to lead a country strangled by the explosion of government spending that drove the Troika to impose draconian measures.

The drama of this country, in the stories of the Greeks, revolves around the explosion of government spending and corruption. Dynasties policies and the related parties are fattened up to explode thanks to a well-tested scheme. Tsipras thundered in the rally last Thursday in Omonia square, which means harmony, addressing the leader of the right Antoni Samaras, current prime minister and one true antagonist of Tsipras in today’s elections: “They fear as an argument, we hope . Their terrorism we respond with a vision. ”

On this vision have concentrated all the expectations of the Greeks. Polls give a clear advantage SYRIZA, but the voter greek is reluctant to reveal his deep moods. The clash between right and left could benefit even minor political forces, such as the old and greek orthodox communist party, the KKE, in whose ranks he served Tsipras as a boy, who will try to exceed the minimum threshold of 3% set by the electoral law, or To Potami (river), the party founded by former journalist Stavros Theodorakis.

And the couple fear / hope that you play this election. Tsipras, conscious of having to hearten a people weary and tired, he repeated like a mantra: “No child should live without eating, without a book, without daycare; no person should die without help because he has no money; no young person must agree to live without an education worthy of the name and the prospect of a job. ”

There is nothing else that the rules of Welfare on which Europe has built its prestige and its economic strength, but in Greece at the dawn of 2015, as a bad spell, seem to have transformed in a mirage.



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