Matteo Renzi makes a bit ‘bully, misrepresent security on the premises of the majority on constitutional reform, speaks of the eventual support of Forza Italy as a done unilaterally and without consequences however, degrades in controversy Agostini threads on difficulties of the Government to overcome the obstacle. One can perhaps understand that behaves well to encourage his supporters in a festive occasion, but if you really think that there are problems, they’re wrong.
Beyond the critical aspects of the text of the constitutional reform , the process that has to face the measure is strewn with pitfalls. After two readings with four approvals of identical text, you will have to go to a referendum, the only referendum without quorum expected. If Renzi could exceed four parliamentary procedures with the support of small formations scissionistiche, that have a presence in the palace, but almost no response in the electorate (as well as centrist formations and center participating executive) would then having to conduct a referendum campaign starting from a position of weakness. Already, the formations of the left and right, Sel, Movement 5 stars, the Northern League and Brothers of Italy, who oppose the reform in order to bring down the government, according to opinion polls, and the results of the most recent consultations partial account for about half the electorate. If you add to this the effect of secession or the insubordination of the Democratic Party it is clear that without any external input the referendum is at risk. Keep in mind also that in a referendum on institutional issues on which attention and common understanding of the electorate is very poor, who now benefits, supporting the wave anti-politics, it invites you to reject the decisions taken in parliament, and is usually very warm conviction and discouraged the participation of those who would welcome.
These elements will not disappear at the end of the holiday period, do not represent a syndrome Agostini, but reflect the experiences of the past and present trends. So find a compromise with Forza Italy to correct some critical aspect of the new legislation is a necessary, though not even sufficient in itself, to make it less difficult path of constitutional reform. Renzi If you really want to get to the bottom will realize the need of these steps, but if it uses the institutional debate for different purposes, perhaps to go to early elections by blaming others, then it is a whole other kettle of fish.
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