Thursday, June 23, 2016

Brexit, the longest for Europe day. “Leave” or “Remain” in the EU, to the polls 45 million Britons – The Republic

The longest day for Europe. Today Britain chooses whether to stay in the European Union or vote for the Brexit and exit. Brussels President Jean-Claude Juncker Commission warns: “Who is out, it’s out, no other compromise is possible.” While the populist Nigel Farage celebrates the “Independence Day”, the prime minister David Cameron and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn invite you to vote for “Remain”. Market tension. If Brexit is feared the “Black Friday” of the pound, but also of the Old Continent Bags.



open Urns . The polls are open from 7 am local time until 23. There will, officially, exit polls although it is likely that in the early hours of the night between today and tomorrow will come out directions and guidelines. The first official results are expected at dawn on Friday, and by 8 you will know whether the United Kingdom will remain in the European Union or will detach himself from it, in a process which, however, according to analysts and experts, will last from the two to seven years. But the consequences of a possible exit from the EU will still be felt immediately, because other nations of the Old World and especially the anti-Europeans of all countries seek to exploit, whether it will be in their favor, the British results. long lead time for the possible output, partly because Britain will in fact negotiate with all states bilateral agreements Europeans once established the success of the “Leave.”



the Special Repubblica.it. Repubblica.it follow live, throughout the night, the counting with a special that will include in addition to information on the results as they become available even comments and audio and video connections with the signatures of the newspaper and our correspondents in European capitals.

The number of voters . The games are closed, the future of Europe is now entrusted to the moods and the moods of the British. Are 46.5 million voters called to account ‘Leave or’ Remain ‘in the referendum on the EU.

In or out, no further negotiations. In or out, not tertium datur, as warned in these hours the President of the Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, who has ruled out further negotiations or softening of the agreements with Britain. election campaign to poison the two opposing Tory leader, David Cameron and former Mayor of London, Boris Johnson . The last cartridges of an election campaign to the poison, more emotional than reasoned, were fired yesterday. First the two dioscuri-Tory rivals: Prime Minister David Cameron, “Champion” Remain, and the former Mayor of London Boris Johnson, the man flag of “Leave” in the media, but also the suitor shadow chairside Downing Street. They are two scions “gold” of wealthy English families, friends and eternal rivals, since high school Eton days. David Cameron and Boris Johnson find themselves against each other in the referendum day on Brexit and one of the most important moments of their lives, ran for a long time along parallel tracks . The British prime minister and former mayor of London have attended the same schools and then choose either to enter politics, always within the Conservative Party, which managed to scalarne vertices. But if the soft-spoken Dave, 49, became leader of the Tories, the histrionic Boris, 51, still pawing to win that place to which always aspires. It ‘was the choice of field in the referendum, with the prime minister and former mayor Remain with Leave, to score hopelessly their friendship and make them become the’ warring brothers’.

Although Boris has never denied his aspirations to lead the Tories, he has always avoided the confrontation with Dave. At least up to the challenge on the Brexit . ” We no longer have the same relationship of a time ”, he admitted the recent prime minister. In fact the referendum campaign has brought out all the envy and rivalry between the two. At first they are punzecchiati and then began the confrontation with no holds barred. Boris has called ” insane ” alarmism Cameron on the disastrous consequences of a Brexit , when she was summoned by Prime Minister the risk of a new world war in Europe in case Britain’s exit from the Union. Repeatedly attacked and criticized for its “excessive ambition”, Johnson has dismissed rumors that the support for the campaign of “no” would be a decisive step towards the challenge to the leadership of the party. He would also reassured his friend Dave telling him: “Whatever happens after the referendum you must stay in your place”. But in recent months in the corridors of politics there was talk of something else, the “knife in the back” against Cameron and a “climb” Johnson started already with his back to the House of Commons as a deputy. In this case as in others Dave had tried to make the best of a bad situation and had received with enthusiasm, at least in words, the rise of Boris, and then try to involve him at his side. Efforts to conquer as his ally were vain, however: it is said that the prime minister has offered him a place as foreign minister, the former mayor would have refused. Not even a call-warning of his friend and rival Cameron not to “go hand in hand” with UKIP leader Nigel Farage and the contrarian of the radical left George Galloway, unusual “allies” for the EU output, it has served . Eventually Johnson chose to face open discussion with the Prime Minister and the outcome of the referendum will be crucial to the careers of both. If Cameron does not intend to run for a third time but hopes to save his premiership and his place in history, Johnson with a possible victory of the ‘brexiters’ – but perhaps also with an honorable defeat – could venture the final sprint. And quickly conquer the Tory leadership.

End appeals . Cameron, who to this referendum has opened the doors for internal political calculations, he addressed his final appeals in a flurry of interviews in the newspapers, but also among the people in his constituency in Oxfordshire and among young people of a school , the generation that could have the most to lose from the cut: Britain – insisted like a mantra – is and will be “more prosperous, stronger and more secure” if it remains “in a European Union reformed.” But he is ready to “accept the instructions of the people,” he added.

Corbyn, radical leader of Labour, for the “Remain”. Politically one thousand miles away, but on the same boat Remain, even the radical leader of the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn, was heard yesterday. To say no to Brexit in his own way: “We vote Remain to defend jobs and workers’ rights,” he said, and then “change Europe from within.” The attempt of the last hours of the pro-EU was to nail the rivals of Leave – focused in recent weeks to ride a high rate of populism dossier such as the containment of immigration – the Nigel “extremist” platform Farage : the tribune UKIP, that the divorce from Brussels made a reason for living, and last night (encouraged by some recent surveys which indicate a head to head, but with a slight advantage for Leave) claims to hear. “victory” fragrance

Conservative Eurosceptics . Eurosceptic Conservatives led by Johnson and Minister of Justice Michael Gove tried as opposed to distance themselves from the uncomfortable traveling companion and, at least in recent days, to lower a bit ‘tones: especially after the killing of Jo Cox, the Labour MP champion of European migrants and integration that just yesterday, the day that was supposed to take 42 years, was commemorated in Trafalgar square, in Yorkshire and in various cities of the world in an atmosphere of emotional tribute to his figure, and to his ideas. the assassination of the Labour MP Jo Cox. Even US President Barack Obama, a firm believer in the need for the UK remains in the EU, paid tribute to the Labour MP Jo Cox, murdered last Thursday. Obama, on Facebook, praised the “radiant life” by Jo, who “knew that our policy, when it is at its best, it works” and was convinced that “if we recognize the humanity in each of us we can to advance social justice, human dignity and peace in the world “. Obama explained that he had never met Cox, although the 42-year old policy had come to America as a volunteer for his first election campaign for the White House. “He gave his time – said Obama – and his passion for a country that was not his, because he believed in an idea that goes beyond borders and cultures, that of power that has people to promote change through the motions. “ “Independence Day”, but the leaders are divided Leave . For his part, Johnson, leader of the conservative pro-Brexit, getting off the bus at the edge of which has campaigned around the kingdom, he has once again denied that he had winked to UKIP slogan, let alone to have fueled a climate “hate” in the country, as he reproached in last TV debate with the BBC his successor on the London citizen bench, Sadiq Khan, Labour and son of immigrants. “It is not true, I do leverage on optimism about the future of Britain and its people,” reiterated the blond former mayor: exit from the EU mean just “take back control of our businesses, and our immigration democracy”. But in the end did not fail to adopt the same watchword Farage, calling for the dream today of a “Independence Day” in the United Kingdom ( “nonsense,” he replied Cameron).

The symbol numbers . The numbers-symbols of the opposing sides are meanwhile two: Remain for the 4300 pounds a year would lose every British family for the consequences of a Brexit ; Leave for the 350 million pounds that Britain would save a week. Two digits both questionable: the first because it is purely hypothetical, the second because calculated without scruples net of huge profits that the island derives from membership in the club of 28. Profit is aware shows if only a significant part of the world the second of which remain within the EU “is good for business, good affairs of the kingdom, as confirmed by the appeal in extremis published in the Times as 1,285 top managers of many British companies (1.75 million total workers) to employment, is good for the country. ” Shared belief to the last of the heads of financial institutions and Western governments, including Matteo Renzi, author of an open letter to the British Guardian. Today the weather expected to weather the storm, at least in London. Then the sun will shine again.

The latest polls. Two last-minute surveys, disseminated in the imminence of the opening of the polling stations for the British referendum on the Brexit , give the opposite of yes EU (Remain) ahead of that of no (Leave): YouGov by a whisker, with 51% against 49, while ComRes more significantly, 54% to 46. a few hours before midnight, two other institutions had instead given slightly head Leave. The data of the last survey, by Ipsos-Mori, completed yesterday as required by law, are expected in the morning.

The Italians living in the UK . What will happen concretely Italians in Britain if the country were to leave the European Union as a result of the June 23 referendum is still largely a mystery. In London, live, study and work half a million Italians, it is the largest community of our compatriots abroad. Only in 2015 in 57 thousand they have applied for “national insurance number”, the British equivalent of the tax code, needed to work in the UK. To date though, and what we do not know precisely rights may retain in case of Brexit . On the immediate for them probably will not change much. If he wins the “leave” option, favorable output, the United Kingdom should begin negotiations with the 27 EU member states to define the conditions of the Brexit and also the status of European immigrants in Britain depend on the outcome of this process, which could last two years. During this period, the United Kingdom, although it will no longer take part in the European decision-making, will be bound to comply with the European treaties. In the event that the UK will come off the European Union, in the worst scenarios, EU citizens must apply for a visa to stay in Britain. This visa will likely be linked to the work and the risk is that in case of unemployment can be withdrawn. It is likely that European citizens now have the right to live and work in the country will need new documents. Also with regard to the social and health care we do not know what rights will be maintained for European and Italian citizens in case of Brexit . If European residents in Britain will be treated as non-EU citizens, then also for Italians you will no longer have access to public funds for unemployment benefits or tax cuts. For students, increase tuition fees at British universities. Supporters of the Brexit insist that European workers already in Britain will get the chance to stay there, but, writes the Guardian, many immigration experts are skeptical about. For no one can confirm that if the country leaves the European Union the rights acquired in the meantime will be maintained. For many experts of British immigration, the rights of the Italian and European immigrants in Britain will not change overnight, but it will not be discounted, will be central to the negotiations with the European Union in case of Brexit and much will depend on the mode of the possible divorce between London and Brussels.

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