Europe poised between two-speed and disruption – Rai News

elections are to Be held in France to decide the fate of the Eu

Condividi

05-February-2017If he wins Marine, Europe is over. If he loses, a two-speed Europe – with a group of Countries which aim to even closer ties – is approaching.

observers in Brussels or in the main european capitals have a few questions: will the elections in France to decide the fate of the Eu, already wounded by the Brexit and the spread of euro-scepticism, even in Italy.

Only Germany seems to offer a near certainty: unless sensational twists, the future chancellor the result of the policies of the end of September will not be a eurosceptic. Will be reconfirmed Angela Merkel or to replace it will be the former president of the european Parliament Martin Schulz. A possible victory of the populist Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) Frauke Petry, far back in the polls, it looks at the moment pure science fiction.

A premier anti-Eu is, instead, a hypothesis less sci-fi in the Netherlands, where it opens the ballet of european elections on march 15. A victory of the eurosceptic far-right Geert Wilders of the Partij voor de Dutch party for Freedom (Party for Freedom, Pvv) is not excluded, and there are those who fear a dangerous domino effect.

But the eyes are especially pointed towards France, where presidential elections are scheduled on 23 April to 7 may. In his rally today in Lyon, Marine Le Pen, the candidate of the National Front, had very clear words: if I win, ” he said, there will be a referendum on the Eu within six months. A possible Frexit sancirebbe it is likely that the death of the Eu, which would lose one of his hearts beating. And would it not make more sense, even from the geographical point of view.

The uncertainty French added that the Italian does not know when it will vote, and the eurocritici – M5S and the League – represent a large chunk of the electorate.

The idea of a Europe of multi-speed, with enhanced cooperation between the countries that they are hoping for is not new: at the launch it was in the Nineties, Jacques Delors, minister of Economy and Finance François Mitterrand and historical president of the european Commission between 1985 and 1995.

In these hours was the Germany of Merkel, together with the Benelux and then France and Italy, to re-launch the double-speed, which is already in force in areas such as the single currency and the free movement of persons. That is, the six founding countries of the Eec, ready to create more Europe in sectors such as defence (now that Nato is a bit wavering with Donald Trump), in order to save it.

In France, Emmanuel Macron, the independent candidate among the favorites, is ready for a greater european integration, while François Fillon of the Républicains calls, nevertheless, for a european economic governance, as suggested by Delors.