Rome – Two days after the vote of the communal, from the analysis of the vote is passed to weigh how real the exploit that the 5 Star Movement claims, waving in particular the great impact of Virginia Rays, rewarded by the vote of the Romans and waiting in two weeks from the runoff with the candidate dem Roberto Giachetti. But extending backward reflection on M5s beyond the narrow horizon of the casket of last Sunday, all that glitters is not gold.
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‘the Institute research foundation Carlo Cattaneo at comparing the vote with that of the municipal elections of February 2013. by discovering how the real exploits belongs to the center-right, in the recovery of four percentage points. Next, the center-left, which recovers about one. And pentastellati? It is they who make the cost of the center-comeback, because it is the M5s to lose almost four points. Even considering that in these three cities, this year the M5s did not appear, for the Cattaneo Institute “a simulation has shown us that this fact does not significantly alter the final result.”
One can therefore speak the M5s successful only by comparing the result of Sunday with that of the previous municipal, but when compared to the policies of 2013 the last consultation “marks for 5 stars a moment of stasis if not retreat,” whereas for center-left and center-right above report a recovery. With the aggravating circumstance of another fact highlighted by the Istituto Cattaneo: the center is in recovery, yet it is precisely his electorate of reference to seek refuge mainly in abstention in local elections, while that of the 5 Star Movement is more faithful and rooted, with some exceptions such as Bologna, where it is not received 39% of the voters of the political movement.
and it is precisely the percentages Institute Cattaneo which draws the president of the Democratic Party Matthew Orfini to trim the Grillo tones via Facebook: “the numbers – writes Orfini – have their own stubbornness. And then if we really want to analyze the vote should be taken into account. the votes were 24 provincial capitals. the Democratic Party has won the first round 3 and get on the ballot in 17. They are 4 ones in which we were off. The 5 Star Movement in 6 is not even able to present themselves in 15 remains off the ballot. out of 24 provincial capitals goes to the ballot only in 3: Rome, Turin and Carbonia. “
and again:” Do the ratings calculation is not simple due to the presence of many civic lists, but what is certain is that compared to 2013 the M5s loses while the center it grows (source: Cattaneo Institute). The League disappears, Italian Left has a disappointing result (Fassina words, not mine). This is the objective picture, the rest is (legitimate) propaganda. “
” We are happy? No. Why stay again out of the ballot in Naples burns. And because in some cases we expected more (eg Latin America). But read this result as a success grillino is honestly ridiculous, “writes Orfini ensuring that even in Rome, in the challenge with 5 Stars,” we play. “
“the Bomb – had continued Grillo – he shot giant, he has altered in a sensational manner as grotesque as it does with unemployment, with economic data, with incapienti forced to hand back the 80 euro. More importantly all the newspapers and television have taken over the data without any journalist occurs the correctness of the statement. Just go on the ministry’s website and check if you do not trust checks in person. “
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