the news circulated Sunday night on the center-death are greatly exaggerated. If it were really dead, let’s face it, everything would be easier, and the complicated triangle of Italian politics would be solved in a new, perhaps brutal, but elementary bipolarity between the star of Renzi and the five stars of cricket. But no. Because of 25 capital cities of the province, the center, in its various shapes and formations, leading candidates on the ballot in 16 cases and won once in the first round, about the same as the center-left who won 18 ballots (and has already won Sunday in three Common). Just to get an idea of the proportions, just think that the M5S goes to the ballot in three cities (in two capitals such as Rome and Turin with dizzying rates, more Carbonia). On the other hand, if the center was really dead now Renzi would breathe better, would have a reservoir of votes to draw on to cope with the onslaught grillino, would see the birth of the embryo of a Nation Party.
the failure to transfer
But there is no transfer: even the good shepherd Verdini, on whose paths should have transumare a little ‘lost sheep, bring votes on that side. With wing can not fly either in Naples or in Cosenza or in Grosseto. It is indeed to be considered failed the first electoral alliance in the sunlight, with joint meetings, between the center left and the center right. It can be said then that she died Forza Italy, swept away by the new right Northern League and brother-Italiot? In Rome, certainly, Berlusconi’s party takes low percentage, almost humiliating, under five. In Turin as well. But for nothing in Milan, quite the contrary: there Forza Italy is over 20% and nearly double the league; and in Naples, where adding its votes with the civic lists of Lettieri outperforms the Democratic Party. Forza Italy is on its last legs, but it is still the largest center-right party in Italy. The Opa Salvini never happened. Neither he nor Meloni can be said to have laid the electoral bases of a potential national leadership: the first does not exist from Rome on down, the second is very weak from the ring road up. Berlusconi has certainly lost a bad bet he had made on Marchini, even though its competitors have won it: even in Varese, the candidate would not be the League’s head without Forza Italy. Not to say of Milan. Perhaps this is why it is Salvini Meloni have yesterday made two conferences more unified release that bellicose.
The role of Berlusconi
On the other hand, we I got confirmation that Berlusconi is no longer the King Midas of that area, and in fact is likely to make the alchemist on the contrary, transforming what wood touches: Marchini still ringing in his ears from the shock. Former Knight remains Milan. But if he loses the ballot, upon his kingdom for ever the sun goes down. And if he wins, his leadership ends the same, because they will have to pass the buck to the next generation that made the miracle. The center, therefore, is not dead. But it is shattered. He has legs but no head. It is one of more than a coalition mood. An archipelago of voters, instead of a political force. But precisely these Administrative remind us that wherever found a leader and a competitive again becomes project. Now you understand much better what material needs to be done for the bostik riattaccarne the pieces. The ideal is a guy like Parisi, the unpolitical author of a small political masterpiece. But candidates with the same characteristics “civic” and winning also done well elsewhere: from Trieste, in Grosseto, in Brindisi.
The estate of tripolarismo
The tripolarismo, in short, it does not seem finished. And apparently it will not end even with the Russian roulette of the runoff in two when you decide will be the heat and the abstention (with Italicum the mail will be even Palazzo Chigi). On the contrary: this ménage à trois of Italian politics, which manifest itself in the last election produced the Renzi government solution, is now in danger of becoming dangerous for the premier, if the pincer of the two poles opponents will hang on its referendum, where you either win or you lose, and law of excluded middle .
6 June 2016 (modified June 6, 2016 | 23:29)
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