It is the best performance of the center of these municipal elections. And to say it is not the president of Forza Italy Silvio Berlusconi but the research institute Carlo Cattaneo with incontrovertibility figures debunks a number of urban legends artfully constructed around the success of two, and only two, exponents grilline Virginia rays in Rome and Chiara hanger in Turin. In short grillini of control and government they have certainly brought home a sensational result in Rome and in Turin. But behind the fireworks of the big cities, it hides a different reality.
In the galaxy of the major political movements according to the Cattaneo Institute are certainly not tied to a boom in the M5S, that there ‘ it is, but to an increase of 4 percentage points compared to the center-right policies of 2013: analyzing the flows of capitals to 18 vote, the moderates go from 25.4 to 29.5. Even the center earns a little bit in comparison with 2013, passing from 33.1 to 34.3. The other phenomenon to be monitored is that of abstention that the North has reached minus 10 points with a drop of 12.9 in Milan.
He did not therefore wrongly Matthew Orfini, president of the Democratic Party and return it to sender the triumphant tones of Beppe Grillo and the data of the hand Cattaneo stresses that M5S compared to 2013 loses. The choice of grillini for these municipalities had been to focus on the most important cities in the media and cover, as best, the indispensable metropolis. The other best left alone, not to lose face at the national level. But the attempt failed. Not everything went as predicted and in many capitals where it seems that the girllini have ‘won’, actually lost. This is demonstrated by the comparison with the preferences collected by the Movement 5 Stars to the 2013 general election Milan is the logistics headquarters of Five Star spa, the core technology of all ambaradam. But it is also a city in which the party has very messy: before he pulled out of the hat a candidate elected with a number of votes Association Council then replaced it in the running with Gianluca Corrado, name unknown to most. Result? Fifty-four thousand votes. Which are not few. But they are 67 thousand less than in 2013, when the Grillo troops gathered, the beauty of 121 thousand. Other elections and other context, of course: but it is the proof that the average voter when he has to choose the mayor thinks twice. The cloth itself is staged in Naples (73 thousand votes less than at the last election) and Bologna (-14 thousand preferences). unfortunate city? No. Because even in Turin, where Chiara hanger heels landlord Piero Fassino, the Movement has still lost on the street 10 thousand citizens. And the trend of large cities is this.
In Rome, the Rays was chosen from almost 454mila citizens. Many, but only 17 thousand more than in the boom of the elections three years ago. And at the national level? The accounts makes them the Institute Carlo Cattaneo and merciless than the M5S policies lost 4 percent. On that 4 percent gained by the center-right. The grillini not indeed advancing retreat. Numbers blowing up the feud with the Democratic Party and pushing Grillo has published a post in which I repeat – according to its own calculations – that his is the most voted party. But the electoral flows demonstrate with evidence that the star is a protest vote, belly. Symbolic. The attempt, a little ‘clumsy to deal a blow below the belt to the bloody political caste.
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